Public opinion poll analysis

Instructions: In this assignment, you will analyze a recent national public opinion poll. Answers should be submitted in the provided dropbox by 11:59pm on Sunday. If you upload a file with your answers, acceptable file formats include doc, docx, and pdf.

First, re-read the following sections in Chapter 6: “How We Form Political Opinions” (pages 153-162) and “Measuring Public Opinion” (pages 164-170).

Next,

to access the public opinion poll.Use the information in the textbook and this poll to answer the following questions.

Questions:

1. Which organizations conducted the poll? 1pt.

2. When were interviews conducted? 1pt.

3. How many adults were surveyed? 1pt.

4. Define selection bias. 1pt.

5. Read through the explanation of how the survey was conducted (page 1 of pdf). Do you think selection bias could be present in this poll? Explain your answer. 2pts.

6. Define sampling error (or margin of error). 1pts.

7. What is the margin of error (MOE) for the sample of national adults in the survey? 1pts.

Note: The MOE is mentioned on page 1 of the pdf. It is also listed at the bottom of the table on page 2 of the pdf.

8. According to the results on page three of the pdf, what percent of national adults approve/disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 1pts.

9. Apply the margin of error to the results above. Using the margin of error, what is the range of national adults that approve/disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Show your work. 2pts.

10. Based on the results above, can we confidently say that a majority of national adults approve/disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Explain your answer. 2pts.

11. According to the results on page three of the pdf, what percent of Democrats approve of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? What percent of Republicans approve? 1pt.

12. According to the results on page three of the pdf, what percent of national adults residing in the Northeast approve of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? What percent of national adults residing in the South approve? 1pt.

13. According to the results on page three of the pdf, what percent of women approve of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? What percent of men approve? 1pt.

14. Chapter 6 explains how public opinion and party identification/support tend to vary by social groups. In other words, some social groups tend to be more liberal/conservative in their ideologies and tend to vote for/identify with the major parties at different rates. Do the demographic patterns in the presented polling data correspond to the patterns we would expect? Explain your answer. 2pts.

Note: In your answer, think about things like gender differences, regional differences, racial differences, etc.

15. Read through the remaining questions in the survey. Find one question that you think might contain error. Explain why you think this question might contain error. 2pts.